Cyclone Giri warining near Kyaukpyu, Rakhine, Myanmar (Burma)

This warning is from http://www.imd.gov.in/section/nhac/dynamic/cwind.htm.

BOB 04/2010/05 Dated: 21.10.2010

Time of issue: 1400 hours IST

Sub: Cyclonic storm “GIRI” over eastcentral Bay of Bengal

The deep depression over eastcentral Bay of Bengal remained practically stationary, intensified into a cyclonic storm “GIRI” and lay centred at 1130 hrs IST of today, the 21^st October 2010 over the same area near latitude 17.5⁰N and 91.5⁰E, about 350 km south-southwest of Sittwe (Myanmar), 450 km south of Cox Bazar (Bangladesh) and 650 km southeast of Digha (West Bengal, India).

The current environmental conditions and numerical weather prediction (NWP) models suggest that the system would intensify further into a severe cyclonic storm. It would move northwards initially and then north-northeastwards and cross north Myanmar and adjoining Bangladesh coasts by tomorrow, the 22^nd October 2010 evening between Teknaf (Bangladesh) and Kyaukpyu (Myanmar) near Sittwe (Myanmar).

Based on latest analysis with NWP models and other conventional techniques, estimated track and intensity of the system are given in the Table below:

Date/Time(IST)	Position (lat. 0N/ long. 0E)	Sustained maximum surface wind speed (kmph)
21-10-2010/1130	17.5/91.5	65-75 gusting to 85
21-10-2010/1730	18.0/91.5	75-85 gusting to 95
21-10-2010/2330	18.5/92.0	85-95 gusting to 105
22-10-2010/0530	19.0/92.5	95-105 gusting to 115
22-10-2010/1130	19.5/92.5	115-125 gusting to 135
22-10-2010/2330	20.5/93.5	95-105 gusting to 115
23-10-2010/1130	21.5/94.5	55-65 gusting to 75
23-10-2010/2330	22.5/95.5	35-45 gusting to 55

Since the system is likely to move towards north Myanmar and adjoining Bangladesh coasts, it is not expected to affect east coast of India. However, the system is under constant watch and concerned state Govts. will be informed accordingly.

As the system is not likely to affect Indian coast. The next bulletin will be issued at 2030 hrs IST of 21^st October 2010.